Business Magazine

Infrastructure-driven and export-led growth

u003cpu003eThis is the second time in our history that we have a Prime Minister combining the portfolio of Finance Minister and Honorable Pravind Jugnauth is presenting his fifth budget. The economy has somewhat been in better shape than it has been over the past years with a growth of 3.9% in 2017 and a subdued forecast of 4.1% for 2018.u003c/pu003eu003cpu003eThe Prime Minister and Minister of Finance has presented the third budget of his government with a resolve to power growth through investments in infrastructure which will sustain the economic development. These investments will straddle more than one financial year and will change the shape of the country as enhanced road and transport improvements will be a game changer to improve competitiveness. It is logical that financing such projects will imbalance the current state of affairs, hence the loan from India.u003c/pu003eu003cpu003eThe challenge over the years has been to steer the ship clear in the face of adverse external head winds. The economic conditions have generally improved with our main traditional markets doing rather well compared to previous years. This scenario has also helped our small island export-led economy. The exchange rate, price of oil and low interest rate have more or less stabilized, thereby removing the risk of external shocks.u003c/pu003eu003cpu003eThe vision of late has been economic diversification and transformation. It is refreshing to note that we are on the right track with all the main sectors posting positive growth, namely: tourism, financial services, agro, textiles and ICT.u003c/pu003eu003cpu003eRegarding the transformation, the challenge has been job creations and the jury is still out on this one as it remains work in progress. Our concern is that we may be treading on the path of jobless growth.u003c/pu003eu003cpu003eA lot of the measures announced are long term in nature and will straddle more than one financial year in terms of implementation which will make its monitoring less tangible but the challenge of creating jobs in the short term remains, the more so that it is directly linked with the feel-good factor, an indicator which is so important yet not measurable by hard numbers.u003c/pu003eu003cpu003eThere are some small measures which may have a long-term lasting effect like:u003c/pu003eu003cpu003e1. Opening up of the economy where foreigners can acquire properties for less than $500,000 with a multiple entry visa for 180 daysu003c/pu003eu003cpu003e2. Relaxation for cooperatives to import labouru003c/pu003eu003cpu003e3. Stringer criteria for setting up of GBC 1 companies, to create substanceu003c/pu003eu003cpu003e4. No cash betting over Rs 2,000u003c/pu003eu003cpu003e5. CSR: 50% remains with the private sector for now, thus alleviating funding of many NGOsu003c/pu003eu003cpu003e6. Introducing a dividend tax on those earning more than Rs3.5m, 5% excess applicableu003c/pu003eu003cpu003e7. 3% tax for domestic companies involved in exportsu003c/pu003eu003cpu003eIs this the budget of this government, third time lucky, the one that turns the corner in terms of breaking the 4% growth barrier, the one that triggers the much awaited take-off?u003c/pu003eu003cpu003eThe Prime Minister has clearly taken charge of the country and of the economy by annexing a Three Year Strategic Plan ending 2020. This budget augurs well in terms of social intention and the public sector investment that is much needed. The expected growth of 4.1% will depend on its successful implementation .u003c/pu003eu003cpu003eBDOu003c/pu003e

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